Simulate Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence

Calculates and depicts probabilistic long-term effects in binary models with temporal dependence variables. The package performs two tasks. First, it calculates the change in the probability of the event occurring given a change in a theoretical variable. Second, it calculates the rolling difference in the future probability of the event for two scenarios: one where the event occurred at a given time and one where the event does not occur. The package is consistent with the recent movement to depict meaningful and easy-to-interpret quantities of interest with the requisite measures of uncertainty. It is the first to make it easy for researchers to interpret short- and long-term effects of explanatory variables in binary autoregressive models, which can have important implications for the correct interpretation of these models.


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install.packages("pltesim")

1.0 by Christopher Gandrud, 5 months ago


https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=pltesim


Report a bug at https://github.com/christophergandrud/pltesim/issues


Browse source code at https://github.com/cran/pltesim


Authors: Christopher Gandrud [aut, cre], Laron K. Williams [aut]


Documentation:   PDF Manual  


GPL (>= 3) license


Imports coreSim, ggplot2

Suggests testthat, covr


See at CRAN