Generalized Autoregressive Score Models

Simulation, estimation and forecasting of univariate and multivariate generalized autoregressive score models. Time-varying distributional parameters are updated using the score of the conditional distribution, with alternative score scaling specifications. Provides maximum likelihood estimation, filtering, density forecasting and rolling forecast evaluation for a range of conditional distributions. Includes diagnostic tools and methods for evaluating Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasts. The models and their applications are described in Ardia et al. (2019) .


GAS

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GAS implements the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) framework in R. The GAS package provides functions to simulate univariate and multivariate GAS processes, estimate the GAS parameters and to make time series forecasts. Full description of the algorithm and numerous applications are available in Ardia et al. (2018) and Ardia et al. (2019).

Please cite the package in publications!

By using GAS you agree to the following rules:

  1. You must cite Ardia et al. (2019) in working papers and published papers that use GAS.
  2. You must place the following URL in a footnote to help others find GAS: https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=GAS.
  3. You assume all risk for the use of GAS.

Ardia, D., Boudt, K., Catania, L. (2018).
Downside Risk Evaluation with the R Package GAS.
R Journal, 10(2), 410-421.
https://doi.org/10.32614/RJ-2018-064

Ardia, D., Boudt, K., Catania, L. (2019).
Generalized autoregressive score models in R: The GAS package.
Journal of Statistical Software, 88(6), 1-28.
https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v088.i06

Reference manual

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install.packages("GAS")

0.4.3 by Leopoldo Catania, 3 days ago


https://github.com/LeopoldoCatania/GAS


Report a bug at https://github.com/LeopoldoCatania/GAS/issues


Browse source code at https://github.com/cran/GAS


Authors: Leopoldo Catania [aut, cre] (ORCID: , David Ardia [ctb] , Kris Boudt [ctb]


Documentation:   PDF Manual  


GPL-3 license


Imports Rcpp, Rsolnp, MASS, xts, numDeriv, zoo, cubature

Depends on methods

Suggests testthat

Linking to Rcpp, RcppArmadillo


See at CRAN