Simulation, estimation and forecasting of univariate and
multivariate generalized autoregressive score models. Time-varying
distributional parameters are updated using the score of the conditional
distribution, with alternative score scaling specifications. Provides
maximum likelihood estimation, filtering, density forecasting and
rolling forecast evaluation for a range of conditional distributions.
Includes diagnostic tools and methods for evaluating Value-at-Risk and
Expected Shortfall forecasts. The models and their applications are
described in Ardia et al. (2019)
GAS implements the Generalized Autoregressive
Score (GAS) framework in R. The GAS package provides
functions to simulate univariate and multivariate GAS processes,
estimate the GAS parameters and to make time series forecasts. Full description of the algorithm and numerous applications are available in Ardia et al. (2018) and Ardia et al. (2019).
By using GAS you agree to the following rules:
GAS.GAS: https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=GAS.GAS.Ardia, D., Boudt, K., Catania, L. (2018).
Downside Risk Evaluation with the R Package GAS.
R Journal, 10(2), 410-421.
https://doi.org/10.32614/RJ-2018-064
Ardia, D., Boudt, K., Catania, L. (2019).
Generalized autoregressive score models in R: The GAS package.
Journal of Statistical Software, 88(6), 1-28.
https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v088.i06