Estimating Speakers of Texts

Estimates the authors or speakers of texts. Methods developed in Huang, Perry, and Spirling (2020) . The model is built on a Bayesian framework in which the distinctiveness of each speaker is defined by how different, on average, the speaker's terms are to everyone else in the corpus of texts. An optional cross-validation method is implemented to select the subset of terms that generate the most accurate speaker predictions. Once a set of terms is selected, the model can be estimated. Speaker distinctiveness and term influence can be recovered from parameters in the model using package functions. Once fitted, the model can be used to predict authorship of new texts.

Linear and Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models

Fit and compare Gaussian linear and nonlinear mixed-effects models.

Fast & Flexible Implementation of Bayesian Causal Forests

A faster implementation of Bayesian Causal Forests (BCF; Hahn et al. (2020) ), which uses regression tree ensembles to estimate the conditional average treatment effect of a binary treatment on a scalar output as a function of many covariates. This implementation avoids many redundant computations and memory allocations present in the original BCF implementation, allowing the model to be fit to larger datasets. The implementation was originally developed for the 2022 American Causal Inference Conference's Data Challenge. See Kokandakar et al. (2023) for more details.

Bayesian Applied Regression Modeling via Stan

Estimates previously compiled regression models using the 'rstan' package, which provides the R interface to the Stan C++ library for Bayesian estimation. Users specify models via the customary R syntax with a formula and data.frame plus some additional arguments for priors.

Generate Postestimation Quantities for Bayesian MCMC Estimation

An implementation of functions to generate and plot postestimation quantities after estimating Bayesian regression models using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Functionality includes the estimation of the Precision-Recall curves (see Beger, 2016 ), the implementation of the observed values method of calculating predicted probabilities by Hanmer and Kalkan (2013) , the implementation of the average value method of calculating predicted probabilities (see King, Tomz, and Wittenberg, 2000 ), and the generation and plotting of first differences to summarize typical effects across covariates (see Long 1997, ISBN:9780803973749; King, Tomz, and Wittenberg, 2000 ). This package can be used with MCMC output generated by any Bayesian estimation tool including 'JAGS', 'BUGS', 'MCMCpack', and 'Stan'.

Predictive Probability for a Continuous Response with an ANOVA Structure

A Bayesian approach to using predictive probability in an ANOVA construct with a continuous normal response, when threshold values must be obtained for the question of interest to be evaluated as successful (Sieck and Christensen (2021) ). The Bayesian Mission Mean (BMM) is used to evaluate a question of interest (that is, a mean that randomly selects combination of factor levels based on their probability of occurring instead of averaging over the factor levels, as in the grand mean). Under this construct, in contrast to a Gibbs sampler (or Metropolis-within-Gibbs sampler), a two-stage sampling method is required. The nested sampler determines the conditional posterior distribution of the model parameters, given Y, and the outside sampler determines the marginal posterior distribution of Y (also commonly called the predictive distribution for Y). This approach provides a sample from the joint posterior distribution of Y and the model parameters, while also accounting for the threshold value that must be obtained in order for the question of interest to be evaluated as successful.

R Interface to Stan

User-facing R functions are provided to parse, compile, test, estimate, and analyze Stan models by accessing the header-only Stan library provided by the 'StanHeaders' package. The Stan project develops a probabilistic programming language that implements full Bayesian statistical inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo, rough Bayesian inference via 'variational' approximation, and (optionally penalized) maximum likelihood estimation via optimization. In all three cases, automatic differentiation is used to quickly and accurately evaluate gradients without burdening the user with the need to derive the partial derivatives.

Geographic Data Analysis and Modeling

Reading, writing, manipulating, analyzing and modeling of spatial data. This package has been superseded by the "terra" package < https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=terra>.

Bayesian Causal Inference for Periodontal Diseases in Longitudinal Studies

Implements the Mixed Treatment-State Causal Model (MTSCM), a Bayesian framework for estimating causal effects of clinical interventions on bounded continuous outcomes in longitudinal observational studies with irregular visits. The methodology is specifically designed for periodontal disease research, where discrete treatments and continuous disease states (e.g., proportion of periodontal pockets exceeding 3 mm) reciprocally influence one another under dynamic feedback. The package integrates a double-censored Tobit likelihood to handle boundary mass at zero and one, subject-specific random effects to capture within-subject correlation, and flexible tree-based ensemble priors (standard BART and Soft BART) to model complex nonlinear interactions without parametric restrictions. Causal identification is established under the potential outcomes framework via the G-computation formula, with key estimands including the Mixed Average Potential Outcome (MAPO) and the Mixed Probability of Disease Resolution (MPDR). The package provides functions for model fitting, posterior inference, and causal estimand estimation.

Bayesian Graphical Models using MCMC

Interface to the JAGS MCMC library.